January Indicator Trifecta Implying Positivity

Our January Indicator Trifecta combines the Santa Claus Rally, the First Five Days Early Warning System and our full-month January Barometer.


by Jeff Hirsch

The predicative power of the three is considerably greater than any of them alone; we have been rather impressed by its forecasting prowess. This is the 28th time since 1949 that all three January Indicators have been positive. As we detailed in the “Proving Grounds” last week this is rather constructive. The following one-year seasonal pattern chart shows some bang up performance in post-election years with a positive January Indicator Trifecta.